AI task and run log

Append-only historical record. Early entries describe the withdrawn v1 draft and are retained as evidence of the process, not as active forecast support. Future-native v2 runs are separated and must not inherit v1 catalogue content.

This is the public run-level record beginning with the 31 July 2026 research draft. It records the bounded task given to each AI role, the tools it could use, the artifact it produced and the review relationship. It deliberately does not claim to expose private chain-of-thought or platform instructions.

Model and tool disclosure

• Coordinator: OpenAI Codex, GPT-5 family. No model override was requested. The exact serving snapshot, weights and model hash are not exposed to this repository, so claiming a more precise identifier would be false.
• Research, author and critic agents: fresh OpenAI Codex agents inheriting the coordinator's default model unless explicitly stated. No model override was used for the recorded runs. Exact serving snapshots are likewise not exposed.
• External research tools: web search, direct page/PDF retrieval and PDF page inspection. Research prompts restricted technical claims to primary or authoritative sources.
• Local tools: read-only file and repository inspection, deterministic Node.js scripts, structured patch editing, type checking and tests.
• Route proof: Playwright-controlled Chromium at 1440px and 390px, plus screenshot inspection and browser-console/overflow checks.
• Coordination: isolated context-free agents for blind criticism. A critic did not edit the work it judged.
• Not used: no deployment, domain registration, public posting, database, customer data or private platform data.

Tool names describe capabilities a reader can reproduce. They are not evidence for a factual claim; factual evidence remains in data/sources.json.

Prompt retention labels

• Verbatim dispatch: copied in full from the actual bounded task sent to that run, including path, output constraint and no-edit instruction.
• Recorded task contract: the operational brief preserved during the run, but not a transcript of platform/system instructions.
• Reconstructed task contract: an early dispatch was not archived verbatim. The public brief was reconstructed from its fixed output contract and resulting artifact, and is explicitly not presented as a quote.

This distinction is a limitation of the first edition. Refreshes must append their verbatim bounded task dispatches before work begins.

Research and method runs

Run ID	Actor	Prompt status	Bounded task	Tools	Output
ASF-R-001	Current-store researcher	Reconstructed task contract	Establish the signed-out 2026 iPhone category/chart/product-page baseline; separate canonical human pages from diagnostic feeds; record dates, hashes, limitations and legal boundaries.	Web retrieval, local file tools	research/baseline/, data/baseline/
ASF-R-002	US/EU/UK researcher	Reconstructed task contract	Find dated primary evidence for AI, platforms, identity, payments, energy, health, work, social connection, mobility and demography; label observed facts, rules, projections and targets separately; retain counter-evidence.	Web search/retrieval, local file tools	research/regions/us-eu-uk.md
ASF-R-003	Mainland China researcher	Reconstructed task contract	Research mainland-China distribution, agents, superapps, identity, payments, embodied AI, energy, ageing and regulation from official Chinese sources; record translation and target/adoption caveats.	Web search/retrieval, translation-assisted reading, local file tools	research/regions/china.md
ASF-R-004	Asia/Gulf researcher	Reconstructed task contract	Research Japan, Korea, India, Singapore and distinct Southeast Asian economies, Taiwan, UAE and Saudi Arabia; prefer local primary sources and do not collapse ASEAN into one consumer market.	Web search/retrieval, translation-assisted reading, local file tools	research/regions/asia-gulf.md
ASF-R-005	Multilateral researcher	Reconstructed task contract	Gather authoritative global evidence for demography, care, work, inequality, connection, connectivity, energy, climate, finance and the creative economy; state measurement limits and counterforces.	Web search/retrieval, PDF inspection, local file tools	research/global-drivers.md
ASF-M-001	Method designer	Recorded task contract	Freeze the forecast question, market basket, category existence rule, conditional rank outcomes, scoring, update and resolution procedure; make every numerical operation reproducible and publish limitations.	Local file inspection, Node.js, structured editing	docs/FORECAST_CONTRACT.md, data/SCHEMA.md, model scripts
ASF-M-002	Backtest designer	Recorded task contract	Attempt a source-bounded 2021-to-2026 retrospective test against persistence; refuse a performance claim if the preregistered data gate fails; preserve weaker sensitivity only as exploratory.	Web retrieval, local data inspection, Node.js	docs/BACKTEST.md, research/backtest/, data/backtest/
ASF-S-001	Driver/scenario synthesiser	Recorded task contract	Convert regional and global evidence into material drivers, counterforces, measurable signals and four non-probabilistic scenario worlds; do not create rankings at this stage.	Local source synthesis, structured editing	research/driver-atlas.md, data/drivers.json
ASF-T-001	Taxonomy author	Recorded task contract	Assign every current Apple category a fate; propose new categories only when evidence, distinct discovery purpose, cross-market coverage and ten-archetype capacity clear the frozen gate; retain a watchlist.	Baseline/driver inspection, structured editing	research/category-forecast.md, edition categories.json

Inventory and implementation runs

The 23 category inventory files were separate bounded authoring units under one shared task contract. Their run IDs are ASF-I-<category-id>; the category ID and artifact filename are identical. The recorded prompt was:

Create exactly ten distinct fictional listings for the assigned category. For each, define a bounded and later-resolvable archetype, required and distinguishing capabilities, disqualifiers, delivery and provider route, evidence IDs, positive and negative reasoning, dependencies, strongest counter-case, adjacent-rank explanation, twelve regional inputs, measurable signals and an entrepreneur opening. Add two explicitly imagined reviews. Do not edit another category, invent a source ID or manually write generated rank probabilities.

Run range	Actor	Tools	Output and handoff
ASF-I-creation-design through ASF-I-work-business (23 named runs)	Category inventory authors	Source/contract inspection, structured editing	23 files in data/editions/2031-2026-07-31/apps/; handed to the deterministic joint model
ASF-C-001	Coordinator/model integration	Node.js deterministic simulation, validation	23 joint artifacts and inventory.json; 20,000 draws per storefront
ASF-U-001	Interface implementer	React/TypeScript, CSS, local build	Forecast storefront, search, category charts, detail panels and public library
ASF-P-001	Route verifier	Playwright Chromium, screenshots, console and geometry checks	Desktop/mobile evidence in output/playwright/appstoreforecast-foundation/
ASF-K-001	Skill author	Local skill specification, structured editing, safe helper testing	Project and installed copies of $app-store-forecast-refresh

Scenario-judgment remediation

The first scenario pass was later rejected by a critic because one script used array position and keyword matches to generate all 920 outcomes. The script was converted to validation-only. Eight bounded authoring assignments then read the full app cases and rewrote only reasoning.scenarioTests; no author was allowed to change rankings, sources or another assignment's files.

Run ID	Agent label	Assigned category files	Prompt status
ASF-W-A	scenario_author_a	creation-design; developer-tools; digital-safety-trust	Recorded task contract
ASF-W-B	scenario_author_b	education-learning; entertainment; finance-payments	Recorded task contract
ASF-W-C	scenario_author_c	food-drink; games; health-fitness-care	Recorded task contract
ASF-W-D	scenario_author_d	home-energy-environment; identity-public-services; medical-clinical	Recorded task contract
ASF-W-E	scenario_author_e	mobility-travel; music-audio; news-journalism	Recorded task contract
ASF-W-F	scenario_author_f	personal-agents; reading-reference; shopping-commerce	Recorded task contract
ASF-W-G	scenario_author_g	social-community; sports; utilities-device-control	Recorded task contract
ASF-W-H	scenario_author_c follow-up	weather-resilience; work-business	Recorded task contract

The shared bounded task required each author to read the exact S1–S4 definitions and every complete assigned app record; independently choose strong, survives, weak or fails and a five-band likely rank outcome; ground each rationale and broken assumption in the app's archetype, delivery, provider, causal chain, dependencies, regional variance and counter-case; avoid current rank/index, keyword, regular-expression and fixed-template derivation; preserve all non-scenario fields; edit only the named files; and validate JSON syntax. The coordinator retained each resulting file and ran the edition-wide validation after all eight assignments completed.

Input-calibration remediation

An inventory critic then found that the original baseStrength, uncertainty and twelve regional lensFit inputs followed file-order staircases. Those numbers could not credibly support a probability model even though the model itself was deterministic. Eight disjoint author assignments replaced only the numeric inputs and added public, app-specific calibration rationales. Authors were explicitly barred from reading the generated rank inventory.

Run ID	Agent label	Assigned category files	Prompt status
ASF-CAL-A	calibration_author_a	creation-design; developer-tools; digital-safety-trust	Recorded task contract
ASF-CAL-B	calibration_author_b	education-learning; entertainment; finance-payments	Recorded task contract
ASF-CAL-C	calibration_author_c	food-drink; games; health-fitness-care	Recorded task contract
ASF-CAL-D	calibration_author_d	home-energy-environment; identity-public-services; medical-clinical	Recorded task contract
ASF-CAL-E	calibration_author_e	mobility-travel; music-audio; news-journalism	Recorded task contract
ASF-CAL-F	calibration_author_f	personal-agents; reading-reference; shopping-commerce	Recorded task contract
ASF-CAL-G	calibration_author_g	social-community; sports; utilities-device-control	Recorded task contract
ASF-CAL-H	calibration_author_h	weather-resilience; work-business	Recorded task contract

The shared bounded task required app-by-app judgement against delivered reference classes, source strength, counter-cases, dependencies, substitutability, distribution and scenario survivability; values on 0.05 increments; separate rationales for base strength, uncertainty and every one of the twelve lenses; and no use of file order, app ID, current rank, fixed decrements, keyword maps or category-wide constants. Each agent edited only its named authored files. The coordinator added machine checks for rationale coverage, value diversity and order-pattern regressions, then rebuilt the joint model.

The rebuild changed the order. Eight new disjoint assignments therefore re-authored only reasoning.adjacentExplanations against the final generated neighbours. They could inspect generated order but could not change model inputs, scenario tests, sources or other prose.

Run range	Agent labels	Assigned split	Prompt status
ASF-ADJ-A through ASF-ADJ-H	adjacent_author_a through adjacent_author_h	Same eight category groups as ASF-CAL-A through ASF-CAL-H	Recorded task contract

Blind critic dispatches

Every critic received the real project path and was told not to edit files. Each returned only PASS or the single highest-impact gap. Earlier losing rounds are preserved in GAUNTLET.md; where their verbatim dispatch was not retained, their prompt status is reconstructed task contract.

The tables below are navigation summaries, not quotations. Full verbatim dispatches for these retained runs follow in the appendix.

Run ID	Scope	Bounded dispatch summary	Verdict location
ASF-Q-CONTRACT-018	Forecast contract	Inspect docs/FORECAST_CONTRACT.md, docs/BACKTEST.md, data/SCHEMA.md, model and validation scripts, manifest, inventory and joint artifacts. Judge internal coherence, reproducibility, probability semantics, July 2031 resolution and honesty about the failed backtest. Return PASS with evidence or FAIL with only the single highest-impact gap.	GAUNTLET.md contract round 18
ASF-Q-RESEARCH-002	Global research	Inspect the research packs, source register, drivers/scenarios and public claims. Judge coverage of US, China, EU/UK, Japan, Korea, India, distinct Southeast Asian economies, Taiwan, Gulf and global forces; separation of facts from targets; adverse evidence and limitations. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact gap.	GAUNTLET.md driver round 2
ASF-Q-TAXONOMY-001	Category taxonomy	Inspect the category forecast, edition taxonomy, drivers and manifest. Judge current-category fates, research-derived new categories, resolvable boundaries, watchlist logic and the usability of the 23-category Top 10 set. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact gap.	GAUNTLET.md taxonomy round 1
ASF-Q-INVENTORY-002	App inventories	Inspect all authored app files, generated inventory, contract/schema and site detail rendering. Judge 230 distinct resolvable archetypes, adjacent ranking, probabilities/ranges/regional variance, scenario tests, counter-cases, signals, openings and fictional reviews. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact gap.	GAUNTLET.md inventory round 2
ASF-Q-STOREFRONT-002	Product/interface	Inspect the built project and running local route. Judge desktop/mobile usefulness, independence from Apple branding, fiction disclosure, navigation, detail explanations, accessibility and reachability of public research. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact gap.	GAUNTLET.md storefront round 2
ASF-Q-PROCESS-002	Public provenance	Inspect the public docs, logs, source register and built library. Judge whether a reader can reconstruct research, decisions, prompts/tasks, AI/human roles, failures, evidence states and limitations without fabricated hidden reasoning. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact gap.	GAUNTLET.md process round 2
ASF-Q-REFRESH-002	Refresh skill	Inspect project and installed skill copies plus edition/seal/validation scripts. Judge explicit invocation, approval/cost gate, global deltas, immutable history, model/data/site updates, requested-edition validation, fresh critics, route proof and no unauthorised deployment. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact gap.	GAUNTLET.md refresh round 2

The third-cycle dispatches were also recorded before their verdicts:

Run ID	Scope	Bounded dispatch summary	Verdict location
ASF-Q-CONTRACT-019	Forecast contract	Inspect the forecast contract, backtest, schema, model/validation scripts, manifest, inventory and joint artifacts. Judge internal coherence, reproducibility, proper probability semantics, fair and complete July 2031 resolution including proposed categories, and honesty about the backtest. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact remaining gap.	GAUNTLET.md contract round 19
ASF-Q-RESEARCH-003	Global research	Inspect research packs, the working source/driver registers, edition snapshots and public claims. Judge whether every material cross-global driver meets the US, China, EU, Japan/Korea and India/SEA evidence gate; regional source quality; fact/target separation; adverse evidence and limitations. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact remaining gap.	GAUNTLET.md driver round 3
ASF-Q-INVENTORY-003	App inventories	Inspect authored apps, generated inventory, contract/schema, scenario authoring and detail rendering. Judge distinct resolvable archetypes, ranking and regional probabilities, app-specific S1–S4 tests, counter-cases, signals, openings and fictional reviews. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact remaining gap.	GAUNTLET.md inventory round 3
ASF-Q-STOREFRONT-003	Product/interface	Inspect the project and running route. Judge desktop/mobile usefulness, visual independence, fiction disclosure, navigation, uncertainty/scenario/region detail, accessibility and readable research routes in Chromium. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact remaining gap.	GAUNTLET.md storefront round 3
ASF-Q-PROCESS-003	Public provenance	Inspect the public process documents, logs, source register and built library. Judge task/run-level human and AI reconstruction, model/tool disclosure, bounded prompts and retention limits, outputs, critic separation, evidence states, failures and limitations. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact remaining gap.	GAUNTLET.md process round 3
ASF-Q-REFRESH-003	Refresh skill	Inspect both skill copies plus edition, seal, snapshot and validation scripts and tests. Judge explicit invocation, approval, global deltas, frozen-history preservation, edition snapshots, requested-edition validation, helper immutability, critics/route proof and authority boundaries. Return only PASS or the single highest-impact remaining gap.	GAUNTLET.md refresh round 3

The final convergence cycle was dispatched only after the calibrated model, all 230 final-neighbour comparisons, validation, build and live route proof passed. Each critic was a new context-free run and could not see another final critic's verdict.

Run ID	Scope	Bounded dispatch summary	Verdict location
ASF-Q-CONTRACT-FINAL	Forecast contract	Re-audit the completed deterministic contract, app-specific calibration, rank capacity, 2031 resolution and backtest honesty.	GAUNTLET.md contract final round
ASF-Q-RESEARCH-FINAL	Global research	Re-audit all sixteen drivers against every mandatory regional evidence group and the published evidence-state limitations.	GAUNTLET.md driver final round
ASF-Q-INVENTORY-FINAL	App inventories	Re-audit all authored inputs, 230 generated records, final adjacency, scenario tests and fictional-material disclosures.	GAUNTLET.md inventory final round
ASF-Q-STOREFRONT-FINAL	Product/interface	Re-audit the build, live route proof, mobile/desktop experience, research readers and keyboard behaviour.	GAUNTLET.md storefront final round
ASF-Q-REFRESH-FINAL	Refresh skill	Re-audit both skill copies and the immutable-edition, live-proof and authority gates.	GAUNTLET.md refresh final round
ASF-Q-INTEGRATED-FINAL	Integrated release	Judge the whole local educational research draft against coherence, utility, global balance, transparency and maintainability.	GAUNTLET.md integrated final round

Verbatim critic-dispatch appendix

The following code blocks are the complete user-level task messages supplied to the isolated critic agents. They exclude only platform-owned system and developer instructions, which this project cannot export.

ASF-Q-CONTRACT-018

Act as a fresh blind forecasting-method critic. Inspect /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast, focusing on docs/FORECAST_CONTRACT.md, docs/BACKTEST.md, data/SCHEMA.md, scripts/build-forecast-model.mjs, scripts/validate-data.mjs, the manifest, inventory and joint-model artifacts. Judge whether the current contract is internally coherent, reproducible, properly probabilistic, resolvable in July 2031, and honest about the failed backtest. Return exactly one of: PASS with concise evidence; or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap, precise file/field evidence, and why it is material. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-RESEARCH-002

Act as a fresh blind global foresight research critic. Inspect /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast research packs, data/sources.json, drivers/scenarios, and public site claims. Focus on whether China, US, EU/UK, Japan, Korea, India, distinct Southeast Asian economies, Taiwan, Gulf and global forces are evidenced with primary/authoritative sources, observed facts separated from targets, adverse evidence retained, and limitations honest. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-TAXONOMY-001

Act as a fresh blind category-taxonomy critic. Inspect /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast/research/category-forecast.md and data/editions/2031-2026-07-31/categories.json, plus drivers and manifest as needed. Judge whether all current Apple categories receive a fate, future categories are research-derived rather than assumed, boundaries are resolvable and non-overlapping enough, watchlist logic is defensible, and the primary 23-category set is usable for Top 10 charts. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-INVENTORY-002

Act as a fresh blind forecast-inventory critic. Inspect all authored app files and generated inventory under /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast/data/editions/2031-2026-07-31, plus contract/schema and site detail rendering. Judge whether 230 apps are distinct resolvable archetypes, ranks have evidence and adjacent justification, probabilities/ranges/regional variance are honest, scenario tests are app-specific and useful, counter-cases/signals/openings are substantive, and all reviews are clearly fictional. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-STOREFRONT-002

Act as a fresh blind product/interface critic. Inspect the built local project at /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast and, if useful, its running route http://127.0.0.1:8791/?build=final. Judge desktop/mobile usefulness, visual credibility without copying Apple branding, clarity that apps/reviews are fictional, navigation across 23 Top 10 charts, detail-panel explanation of rank evidence/uncertainty/scenarios/regions, accessibility, and whether public research is reachable. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-PROCESS-002

Act as a fresh blind research-process/provenance critic. Inspect /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast public docs, GAUNTLET.md, RESEARCH_LOG.md, DECISION_LEDGER.md, docs/AI_PROCESS.md, docs/PUBLIC_RECORD.md, data/sources.json and the built library. Judge whether a public reader can reconstruct what was researched, what decisions/prompts/tasks were used, what AI/human roles were, what failed, what evidence was rejected/contradictory/superseded, and what limitations remain without fabricated hidden reasoning. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-REFRESH-002

Act as a fresh blind reusable-skill critic. Inspect both /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast/skills/app-store-forecast-refresh and /Users/markjones/.codex/skills/app-store-forecast-refresh plus project edition/seal/validation scripts. Judge whether explicit $app-store-forecast-refresh invocation can safely create a new dated edition in three months, enforce approval/cost scope, research deltas globally, preserve immutable history, update model/data/site/change log, validate the requested edition, require fresh critics/route proof, and avoid deploy/freeze without authority. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-CONTRACT-019

Act as a fresh blind forecasting-method critic. Inspect /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast, focusing on docs/FORECAST_CONTRACT.md, docs/BACKTEST.md, data/SCHEMA.md, scripts/build-forecast-model.mjs, scripts/validate-data.mjs, manifest, inventory and joint-model artifacts. Judge internal coherence, reproducibility, proper probability semantics, fair and complete July 2031 resolution including proposed categories, and honesty about the backtest. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap and exact file/field evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-RESEARCH-003

Act as a fresh blind global foresight research critic. Inspect /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast research packs, data/sources.json, data/drivers.json, edition snapshots, and public site claims. Focus on whether every material cross-global driver meets the stated US, China, EU, Japan/Korea and India/SEA evidence gate; regional claims use primary/authoritative sources; observed facts are separated from targets; adverse evidence and limitations remain visible. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-INVENTORY-003

Act as a fresh blind forecast-inventory critic. Inspect all authored app files and generated inventory under /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast/data/editions/2031-2026-07-31, contract/schema, scenario authoring script and site detail rendering. Judge whether 230 apps are distinct resolvable archetypes, ranks and regional probabilities are justified, scenario tests genuinely test each app across S1-S4, counter-cases/signals/openings are substantive, and reviews are clearly fictional. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-STOREFRONT-003

Act as a fresh blind product/interface critic. Inspect /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast and its running route http://127.0.0.1:8791/?build=r3. Judge desktop/mobile usefulness, independent visual credibility, fiction disclosure, navigation, detail uncertainty/scenarios/regions, accessibility, and whether every public research card opens readable evidence in Chromium. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-PROCESS-003

Act as a fresh blind research-process/provenance critic. Inspect /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast public docs including docs/AI_RUN_LOG.md, GAUNTLET.md, RESEARCH_LOG.md, DECISION_LEDGER.md, source register, and built library. Judge whether a reader can reconstruct task/run-level AI and human work, model/tool disclosure, bounded prompts and prompt-retention limits, outputs, fresh-critic separation, evidence states, failures and limitations without fabricated hidden reasoning. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-REFRESH-003

Act as a fresh blind reusable-skill critic. Inspect both copies of app-store-forecast-refresh plus project edition/seal/snapshot/validation scripts and tests in /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast. Judge explicit invocation, approval gate, global delta research, preservation of frozen history while shared working evidence evolves, edition-local snapshots, requested-edition validation, immutable helper behavior, critics/route proof, and no deployment/freeze without authority. Return exactly PASS with concise evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues. Do not edit files.

ASF-Q-CONTRACT-FINAL

Act as a fresh blind forecasting-method critic. Do not edit any files. Inspect /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast, focusing on docs/FORECAST_CONTRACT.md, docs/BACKTEST.md, data/SCHEMA.md, scripts/build-forecast-model.mjs, scripts/validate-data.mjs, the 2031-2026-07-31 manifest, authored inputs, generated inventory and joint-model artifacts. Judge internal coherence, reproducibility, app-specific input calibration, proper probability semantics, rank-capacity logic, fair and complete July 2031 resolution including proposed/transformed categories, and honesty about the exploratory backtest. Return exactly one verdict: either PASS with concise concrete evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap, exact file/field evidence and why it is material. Do not list secondary issues.

ASF-Q-RESEARCH-FINAL

Act as a fresh blind global foresight research critic. Do not edit any files. Inspect /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast research packs, data/sources.json, data/drivers.json, edition-local snapshots and public claims. Judge whether every D01-D16 driver is supported across the mandatory US, China, EU, Japan/Korea and India/SEA evidence groups, with appropriate coverage of distinct Southeast Asian economies, Taiwan, Gulf technology economies and global forces; whether sources are primary/authoritative; observed facts are separated from policy intent/targets; and contradictory, rejected and superseded evidence plus limitations stay visible. Return exactly one verdict: PASS with concise concrete evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues.

ASF-Q-INVENTORY-FINAL

Act as a fresh blind forecast-inventory critic. Do not edit any files. Inspect all authored app files and generated inventory under /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast/data/editions/2031-2026-07-31, plus docs/FORECAST_CONTRACT.md, data/SCHEMA.md, scripts/author-scenario-tests.mjs, scripts/validate-data.mjs and src/App.tsx. Judge whether all 230 apps are distinct resolvable archetypes; base strength, uncertainty and all regional fits are app-specific defensible judgments rather than patterned rank inputs; final ranks have correct adjacent causal explanations; probabilities/ranges/regional variance are honest; S1-S4 tests are genuinely app-specific; counter-cases, signals and entrepreneur openings are substantive; and reviews are visibly fictional. Return exactly one verdict: PASS with concise concrete evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues.

ASF-Q-STOREFRONT-FINAL

Act as a fresh blind product/interface critic. Do not edit any files. Inspect /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast, its built dist, route-proof artifacts, scripts/prove-routes.mjs, src/App.tsx and src/styles.css. If useful inspect the running route http://127.0.0.1:8791/?build=final-critic using available browser/Playwright tooling. Judge desktop/mobile usefulness, credible independent design without copying Apple identity, clarity that apps/reviews are fictional, navigation across 23 Top-10 charts, app-detail explanation of rank/calibration/uncertainty/scenarios/regions, keyboard accessibility and whether the forecast contract and regional research open readably inside the product. Return exactly one verdict: PASS with concise concrete evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues.

ASF-Q-REFRESH-FINAL

Act as a fresh blind reusable-skill critic. Do not edit any files. Inspect both /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast/skills/app-store-forecast-refresh and /Users/markjones/.codex/skills/app-store-forecast-refresh plus project edition, source snapshot, model, readiness, route-proof, seal/freeze and validation scripts/tests. Judge whether an explicit $app-store-forecast-refresh invocation can safely create a new dated edition later; disclose and gate cost/approval; research global deltas; preserve immutable frozen history; bind edition-local evidence; update model/data/site/changelog; validate the requested edition; require fresh critics and genuine live signed-out desktop/mobile route proof; and avoid deployment, domain, freeze or publication without separate authority. Return exactly one verdict: PASS with concise concrete evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues.

ASF-Q-INTEGRATED-FINAL

Act as a fresh blind integrated release critic. Do not edit files. Inspect the whole local project at /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast as an educational research product: research, category system, all 230 forecast apps, model/contract/backtest, interface, public process/provenance, route proof and refresh skill. The edition must remain an explicitly unpublished/unfrozen research draft and no deployment/domain claim is allowed. Judge whether it is coherent, credible, useful to future-minded readers and entrepreneurs, globally informed rather than UK-centric, transparent about uncertainty and fictional material, and maintainable as immutable dated editions. Return exactly one verdict: PASS with concise concrete evidence, or FAIL with only the single highest-impact remaining gap, exact evidence and why it blocks release-quality convergence. Do not list secondary issues.

Post-calibration evidence and category remediation

The later Gauntlet rounds exposed three defects that were not visible in the earlier final-labelled cycle: missing country-level African evidence, post-hoc category-probability prose, and incomplete refresh-delta reconciliation. The word “final” in an earlier run ID did not stop the loop; these newer losses and repairs supersede it.

Run ID	Actor	Prompt status	Bounded task	Output
ASF-R-AFRICA-001	africa_evidence_author	Recorded task contract	Build separate official/authoritative evidence for South Africa, Nigeria and Kenya across D01–D16; do not treat one country as an Africa proxy; label delivery, registration, targets and missing outcome evidence.	research/regions/africa.md; 20 source records
ASF-BLIND-PACKET-001	Coordinator/tool	Reproducible script	Build one category packet containing definitions, boundaries, driver evidence, roles, limitations and counter-case while excluding prior probabilities, scores, ranks and model output.	23 files in research/category-calibration-packets/
ASF-CATCAL-A	category_calibrator_a	Verbatim dispatch retained	Independently calibrate creation-design, developer-tools and digital-safety-trust from only their blind packets.	Three edition calibration JSON files
ASF-CATCAL-B	category_calibrator_b	Verbatim dispatch retained	Independently calibrate education-learning, entertainment and finance-payments from only their blind packets.	Three edition calibration JSON files
ASF-CATCAL-C	category_calibrator_c	Verbatim dispatch retained	Independently calibrate food-drink, games and health-fitness-care from only their blind packets.	Three edition calibration JSON files
ASF-CATCAL-D	category_calibrator_d	Verbatim dispatch retained	Independently calibrate home-energy-environment, identity-public-services and medical-clinical from only their blind packets.	Three edition calibration JSON files
ASF-CATCAL-E	category_calibrator_e	Verbatim dispatch retained	Independently calibrate mobility-travel, music-audio and news-journalism from only their blind packets.	Three edition calibration JSON files
ASF-CATCAL-F	category_calibrator_f	Verbatim dispatch retained	Independently calibrate personal-agents, reading-reference and shopping-commerce from only their blind packets.	Three edition calibration JSON files
ASF-CATCAL-G	category_calibrator_g	Verbatim dispatch retained	Independently calibrate social-community, sports, utilities-device-control, weather-resilience and work-business from only their blind packets.	Five edition calibration JSON files
ASF-CATCAL-INTEGRATE	Coordinator/tool	Reproducible script	Reject missing/extra storefronts, wrong anchors, unconnected or out-of-packet source IDs, repeated prose and weak movement tests; preserve explicit empty-evidence cells; then integrate all 621 records and rerun the joint model.	Edition category/app inputs, rendered calibration table, regenerated inventory and joint artifacts

The shared calibrator dispatch was recorded before outputs were returned:

Use only the named probability-blind packet files and the sources linked inside
them. Do not inspect the prior existenceProbabilityByStorefront values,
categories.json probabilities, app files, inventory, joint-model output or
another calibrator's work. For every assigned category and all 27 storefronts,
author a probability from 0.01 to 0.99, its exact nearest lower and upper public
anchors, packet-local source IDs, a unique three-to-six-sentence rationale that
connects every source and compares both anchors, and substantive conditions
that would move the judgement up and down. Judge Brazil and Mexico separately;
judge South Africa, Nigeria and Kenya separately. Write only the assigned
category-calibration JSON files and validate their structure. Do not alter app
scores, ranks, taxonomy or model output.

Later fresh-critic dispatches retained verbatim

You are a fresh blind Gauntlet critic. Inspect the actual project at
/Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast. Judge only this bar:
every source used by edition 2031-2026-07-31 is mechanically prevented from
carrying an access or explicit publication date after the 2026-07-31 cutoff,
common English/abbreviated/slash/numeric/month-year/future-year forms fail
closed, and stored cutoff metadata is independently reconciled to raw strings
by edition-level validation and tests. Run the relevant validation/tests; do
not use builder summaries and do not edit files. Return exactly: Winner: A | B
(A actual implementation meets the bar, B reference bar wins). Biggest gap
(only if B): one concrete actionable gap. Confidence: close | not close.

You are a fresh blind Gauntlet critic. Inspect the actual project and both
refresh-skill copies at /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast
and /Users/markjones/.codex/skills/app-store-forecast-refresh. Judge only this
bar: a future refresh must independently reconcile the exact old/new source,
numeric category/app, taxonomy, and complete generated inventory deltas;
structural taxonomy changes cannot be self-declared; inventory reconciliation
includes category, rank, expected points, Top-10 coverage, typical range and
model references; previous category calibrations are comparison-only and
active calibrations must be newly probability-blind; mutation tests reject
missing, spurious and falsely unchanged changes. Run focused tests; do not use
builder summaries and do not edit files. Return exactly: Winner: A | B (A
actual implementation meets the bar, B reference bar wins). Biggest gap (only
if B): one concrete actionable gap. Confidence: close | not close.

You are a fresh blind global-foresight Gauntlet critic. Inspect the actual App
Store Forecast project at /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast,
especially research/regions/africa.md, data/drivers.json, data/sources.json, the
edition category-calibrations and model/contract. Judge only whether South
Africa, Nigeria and Kenya receive genuine country-level treatment across all
material D01-D16 drivers and category-existence forecasts, rather than cosmetic
labels or evidence borrowed from one African country; gaps and the deliberately
coarser app lensFit boundary must be honest. Do not rely on builder summaries.
Run checks if useful; do not edit files. Return exactly: Winner: A | B (A actual
work meets the bar, B reference bar wins). Biggest gap (only if B): one
concrete actionable gap. Confidence: close | not close.

You are a fresh blind forecast-inventory Gauntlet critic. Inspect the actual
App Store Forecast project at /Users/markjones/code/collab365_websites/appstoreforecast.
Judge only whether all 621 category/storefront existence probabilities are
independently defensible inputs rather than post-hoc prose around preselected
numbers: packets must exclude old probabilities/scores/ranks/model output;
authored outputs must be separate and source/anchor/movement-condition linked;
integration and validation must bind exact records, preserve explicit
empty-evidence cells, and simulation must consume the authored values only
afterward. Check public documentation and tests too. Do not rely on builder
summaries; do not edit files. Return exactly: Winner: A | B (A actual work
meets the bar, B reference bar wins). Biggest gap (only if B): one concrete
actionable gap. Confidence: close | not close.

Outcomes of the later bounded reviews

These reviews were run after the repairs above. The role labels are local task labels; exact serving snapshot identifiers were not available and are not claimed.

Run ID	Fresh critic role	Bounded subject	Returned verdict	Consequence
ASF-CUTOFF-R30	contract_cutoff_recritic_7	Fail-closed access/publication dates and exact raw/stored reconciliation	Winner: A; confidence not close	Contract piece converged at round 30
ASF-REFRESH-R15	refresh_delta_recritic_7	Exact source, category, app, taxonomy and generated-inventory deltas	Winner: A; confidence not close	Refresh piece converged at round 15
ASF-AFRICA-R13	africa_recritic_2	Separate South Africa, Nigeria and Kenya evidence and category judgements	Winner: A; confidence not close	Global research piece converged at round 13
ASF-CATCAL-R11	category_calibration_recritic_3	Probability-blind authoring and downstream model consumption of all 621 records	Winner: A; confidence not close	Inventory piece converged at round 11

Country-level conditional app-fit remediation

The following fresh integrated-research brief reopened the candidate:

Act as a fresh blind global-foresight research Gauntlet critic. Do not edit
files. Inspect the project research, drivers, source registry, edition
snapshots/calibrations and validation. Ignore builder summaries. Judge whether
D01-D16 and the forecasts genuinely incorporate separate evidence and
reasoning for China, US, EU/UK, Japan, Korea, India, Singapore and distinct
Southeast Asian economies, Taiwan, Saudi/UAE Gulf, Brazil versus Mexico, and
South Africa versus Nigeria versus Kenya; distinguish policy intent, rollout,
outcomes, contradictions and gaps; and cite sources accessibly without
geographic proxying. Return PASS with concrete evidence or FAIL with only the
single highest-impact gap and exact evidence. Do not list secondary issues.

final_global_research_critic returned FAIL: local evidence changed category existence but the model still copied one conditional app-fit prior across every storefront inside a multi-country lens. The model and schema lines cited by the critic confirmed that those within-lens conditional differences were only simulation noise. No other gap was repaired in that round.

Run ID	Fresh bounded author	Categories	Output
ASF-APPFIT-A	final_method_critic reassigned after its superseded review was interrupted	Creation & Design; Developer Tools; Digital Safety & Trust	Three app/storefront calibration files
ASF-APPFIT-B	final_inventory_critic_2 reassigned after its superseded review was interrupted	Education & Learning; Entertainment; Finance & Payments	Three files; one repeated local reason corrected after integration rejection
ASF-APPFIT-C	final_refresh_critic_2 reassigned after its superseded review was interrupted	Food & Drink; Games; Health, Fitness & Care	Three files; Games preserved six empty-evidence storefronts
ASF-APPFIT-D	appfit_author_d	Home, Energy & Environment; Identity & Public Services; Medical & Clinical	Three files
ASF-APPFIT-E	appfit_author_e	Mobility & Travel; Music & Audio; News & Journalism	Three files
ASF-APPFIT-F	appfit_author_f	Personal Agents; Reading & Reference; Shopping & Commerce	Three files
ASF-APPFIT-G	appfit_author_g	Social & Community; Sports; Utilities & Device Control; Weather & Resilience; Work & Business	Five files

The shared author contract was fixed before any output was accepted:

Read only the assigned rank-blind packet files; do not inspect inventory,
joint model, forecasts or rank explanations. For each of the 20 storefronts,
cite only packet-local country evidence in a substantive rationale and judge a
ten-app adjustment vector on the -0.15 to +0.15 range in 0.025 steps. The
vector must sum to zero, contain positive and negative movements, and include
a unique named reason for every app. Across every evidenceful multi-country
lens, every app must differ in at least two countries. If local evidence is
empty, use no sources, ten zero adjustments, no app reasons and an explicit
gap statement. Judge capabilities, delivery, access and regulation; never use
app IDs, file order, a template or a generated rank.

The independent integrator accepted 460 records and 4,540 unique named app reasons after rejecting the single duplicate. Sixty Games cells remained forced zeros because six storefront packets lacked local evidence. Only then did joint-rank-v3 consume the adjustments.

That candidate did not pass the next blind review. global_appfit_recritic_1 returned Winner: B and identified one highest-impact gap: the Home, Energy & Environment record for Indonesia admitted that its evidence was Vietnamese, Singaporean and global, while still applying nonzero Indonesian app adjustments. The critic also located the integrator's incorrect assumption that every source carried forward from a category packet was local. No secondary gap was repaired in that round.

The rejected adjustment set was discarded. A replacement packet build split each cell's category sources into exact-country localEvidence and contextEvidence using the registered source geography. Global, regional and neighbouring-country sources could no longer justify a nonzero vector. Seven fresh disjoint authors were assigned the same category groups as geo_appfit_author_a through geo_appfit_author_g; they saw only the new rank-blind packets and were required to preserve an all-zero cell whenever localEvidence was empty. The independent integrator accepted all 460 replacement records after one bounded repair to 32 neutral rationale lengths and one mechanical repair replacing app IDs with fictional names in 360 otherwise unchanged reasons. The final set contains 158 evidenceful records, 1,580 named app reasons and 302 neutral records containing 3,020 forced-zero app cells. A proposed gate that would have forced every app value to differ between countries was stopped and removed before integration because that would have manufactured geographic precision; independently supported equal values remain valid. Model regeneration and fresh criticism of this replacement follow.

Run ID	Fresh geography-safe author	Categories	Accepted evidenceful / neutral records
ASF-GEO-APPFIT-A	geo_appfit_author_a	Creation & Design; Developer Tools; Digital Safety & Trust	25 / 35
ASF-GEO-APPFIT-B	geo_appfit_author_b	Education & Learning; Entertainment; Finance & Payments	20 / 40
ASF-GEO-APPFIT-C	geo_appfit_author_c	Food & Drink; Games; Health, Fitness & Care	18 / 42
ASF-GEO-APPFIT-D	geo_appfit_author_d	Home, Energy & Environment; Identity & Public Services; Medical & Clinical	21 / 39
ASF-GEO-APPFIT-E	geo_appfit_author_e	Mobility & Travel; Music & Audio; News & Journalism	18 / 42
ASF-GEO-APPFIT-F	geo_appfit_author_f	Personal Agents; Reading & Reference; Shopping & Commerce	20 / 40
ASF-GEO-APPFIT-G	geo_appfit_author_g	Social & Community; Sports; Utilities & Device Control; Weather & Resilience; Work & Business	36 / 64

The shared replacement dispatch allowed a nonzero value only from categoryExistenceJudgement.localEvidence, required cited packet IDs and ten named app reasons, and forced sources empty, ten zeros and no app reasons when that local array was empty. The packet builder itself classified evidence from the registered source geography; authors were not permitted to inspect app files, inventory, model artifacts, probabilities or ranks.

After the strict model rebuild, seven new adjacent_reconcile_a through adjacent_reconcile_g runs received disjoint category groups. They edited only the derived adjacentExplanations field for the 230 apps against the computed inventory order. Each run verified exact neighbours and boundary nulls and compared canonical pre/post hashes with that field removed; all non-adjacent data remained unchanged. The rebuilt inventory then passed edition validation, 25 tests, type checking, the production build and signed-out mobile and desktop Chromium route proof.

The retained fresh critic dispatch was:

Act as a completely fresh blind Gauntlet critic. Do not edit files and do not
rely on any builder summary. Judge whether app-level conditional ranking inside
multi-country lenses is grounded in exact storefront-country evidence without
regional, global or neighbouring-country proxies. Inspect packets, registered
geography, authored records, public research, contract/schema, integration and
independent validation, generated model/inventory, UI, tests and refresh skill.
Check honest zero gaps, rank blindness, pre-simulation model use, legitimate
equal values and refresh preservation. Return Winner A for pass or Winner B
with only the single highest-impact gap, plus confidence.

global_geography_recritic_1 returned Winner: A with confidence not close.

Final-suite candidate and Southeast Asia repair

Seven fresh final critics reviewed the same candidate. Storefront, public process and integrated critics returned Winner: A. The global critic returned Winner: B because four already researched domestic payment records had no claim IDs and did not enter Finance & Payments. Method, inventory and refresh critics also returned bounded losses on that now-superseded candidate; their as-of lifecycle, dead-source and critic-artifact gaps were recorded but not mixed into the active Southeast Asia repair.

The active global gap was handled with two separated blind roles:

Run ID	Actor	Blind input	Output
ASF-SEA-FIN-CAT	sea_finance_category_calibrator_1	Finance category packet excluding prior probabilities, scores, inventory and model output	27 newly authored category/storefront judgements; ID/MY/TH/PH each cite their own domestic rail
ASF-SEA-FIN-APP	sea_finance_app_calibrator_1	Finance app packet excluding inventory, model output, ranks, PMFs, points and adjacent prose	20 newly authored vectors; 10 evidenceful and 10 neutral, including exact ID/MY/TH/PH bindings
ASF-SEA-FIN-ADJ	sea_finance_adjacent_reconciler_1	Computed inventory order and Finance app records only	Ten derived neighbour records; canonical non-adjacent hash unchanged

The source-to-forecast repair linked the four records to structural driver D09, added a targeted packet-build option so unrelated blind records were not silently replaced, regenerated the category and app judgements, then rebuilt the model. It did not alter other categories' authored inputs. The resulting edition has 1,620 evidence-linked country app reasons and 2,980 explicit forced-zero gap cells. A fresh global critic is required before that piece can return to passing. final_global_research_recritic_4 subsequently returned Winner: A with confidence not close after tracing all four source-to-model chains and the wider global coverage.

The next active final-suite loss was method lifecycle. final_method_critic_3 had found that a mutable researching manifest claimed a precise judgement close on 31 July even though the public evidence snapshot and later forecast repairs were produced afterward. The repair removed that backdated certainty: researching editions require asOf: null; seal preparation writes the exact current timestamp and closing status before it runs validation; all authoring, snapshot and model writers reject closing; preparation failure restores the original null researching manifest; and external freezing accepts only the unchanged closing state. This turn did not prepare a seal, freeze an edition or publish anything.

final_method_recritic_4 then returned Winner: B because seal preparation set the manifest to closing before running the test suite, while three tests still unconditionally required the live file to be researching with a null asOf. That made the new lifecycle internally consistent on paper but deterministically unable to complete. The bounded repair passes APPSTOREFORECAST_EXPECT_CLOSING=1 only to the test subprocess launched by seal preparation. The lifecycle, foundation and inventory-integrity tests now require a parseable close timestamp in that declared context and retain the strict researching/null requirement in ordinary authoring runs. A regression assertion verifies that the preparation script propagates this context. The focused 10-test selection and the complete 27-test suite pass in the current researching state. A new blind method critic must decide this repair; no seal preparation, freeze or publication was run.

final_method_recritic_5 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the public interface still hard-coded Research draft; route proof therefore could accept a closing manifest while the page contradicted it. The bounded repair added the edition manifest to the browser's edition-local data load, rejects edition, target, cutoff, status and close-time inconsistencies, and renders three explicit lifecycle states: open research draft, closing candidate with its judgement-close timestamp, or frozen forecast with that timestamp. The page exposes lifecycle and close-time attributes for independent route proof. Mobile and desktop proof now compare those attributes and the visible status copy against the same manifest that seal preparation has already moved to closing; invalid editions must expose neither lifecycle nor close data. Focused lifecycle checks, all 27 tests, type checking, the build and signed-out route proof pass. Another new blind method critic is required; the live edition remains researching with null asOf, and no preparation, freeze or publication was run.

final_method_recritic_6 returned Winner: A with clear confidence. The critic found the contract, cutoff controls, deterministic artifacts and candid failed-data-gate backtest coherent, and reported an isolated successful researching-to-closing preparation with exact UTC close and signed-out mobile and desktop lifecycle proof. The repository's working edition was not sealed or frozen and remains researching with asOf: null.

The next bounded final-suite loss was source availability. final_inventory_critic_3 had found direct failures for three used links: AE-01, BR-ROBOT-01 and ZA-CLIMATE-01. Live first-party research replaced only that evidence seam. AE-01 now points to the UAE Government's current AI-policy page and its claims no longer depend on the retired page's “post-mobile” copy. BR-ROBOT-01 now points to BNDES's official September 2025 execution report, using its 2024 programme approvals, named Industry 4.0 eligibility and explicit approval-before-contract caveat instead of the unavailable R$2.7bn news URL. ZA-CLIMATE-01 now points to the South African Weather Service's stable annual- climate archive, which lists the same 2024 report. Direct GET checks returned HTTP 200 for all three replacements. Their IDs, geographies, claim bindings, limitations and all numerical forecast inputs remain unchanged; the registry still contains 274 records with 267 used, three contradictory, two rejected and two superseded. The public model was regenerated only to propagate corrected evidence wording. A fresh inventory critic is required.

final_inventory_recritic_4 returned Winner: B with clear confidence on a new, narrower disclosure gap. MosaicMint's structured positive evidence named VIDEO-EDIT-001 and VIDEO-EDIT-002 without including them in the panel's evidenceIds; HearthIsland likewise omitted negative evidence G31. The three registered sources were added to those two arrays. More importantly, edition validation and the inventory-integrity regression now require all 230 panel arrays to exactly equal the union of structured positive, negative and signal evidence, rejecting both omissions and unrelated additions. No probability, fit or ordering input changed. The deterministic model was regenerated and a new blind inventory critic is required.

final_inventory_recritic_5 returned Winner: B with clear confidence after finding a separate alias-resolution defect. Scoreloom and RosterRune named APPLE-CATEGORY-BASELINE-2026; the taxonomy allowed that pseudo-ID, but the signed-out interface resolves only canonical records from sources.json, so the Apple baseline disappeared from both panels. Taxonomy, category and sports- app references now use canonical source SRC-63D9EAFB041B, Apple's “Choosing a category” page. The unsupported alias is gone. Validation and regression now reject all source aliases until the public UI has an explicit canonical alias mechanism, making silent acceptance impossible. The source reverse index and deterministic model were regenerated without changing a score or order. A new blind inventory critic is required.

final_inventory_recritic_6 returned Winner: B with not close confidence because the rank-position prose compares neighbouring apps and cites their sources, while 223 panels exposed only the selected app's own evidence. A shared panel-evidence helper now unions the selected app's canonical evidence with the evidence arrays of its structured higher- and lower-ranked neighbours. The UI labels each source as app case or neighbour comparison and states the expanded scope in the section heading. The inventory regression invokes the same helper across all 230 apps, requires every neighbour source to be present, and confirms every resulting ID resolves in the public register. Focused and full tests, type checking, build and signed-out route proof pass. No model input or rank changed; another fresh blind inventory critic is required.

final_inventory_recritic_7 returned Winner: B with not close confidence because country-level app-fit records named 3,187 app/source relationships but the consolidated evidence panel did not turn those IDs into links. The same shared helper now adds all exact-country sources from the category's 20 storefront-adjustment records to each affected app panel. A source can carry one or more visible roles—app case, neighbour comparison, and country adjustment—so readers can see why it appears. The all-app regression proves every storefront source enters the panel set and every resulting ID resolves to a canonical record. All 27 tests, type checking, build and route proof pass; no model number or order changed. A new blind inventory critic is required.

final_inventory_recritic_8 returned Winner: B with clear confidence after following BR-HOUSE-01 from Brazil app adjustments into the consolidated panel: its canonical English IBGE news URL could redirect signed-out users to a 404. The bounded repair replaced it with IBGE's stable first-party 2022 Census population-results PDF, corrected the source-language provenance to Portuguese and narrowed the recorded claim to the document's 12.2% (2010) to 18.9% (2022) single-person-household change. The six affected blind-packet files expose the new canonical metadata while retaining the former link as urlAtDispatch, so the repair does not erase what the calibration authors originally received. A new automated audit then requested every one of the 267 used URLs, followed redirects and classified 404/410 separately from access blocks and inconclusive network failures. It exposed one additional confirmed 404, a retired GOV.UK Wallet news route, which was rebound to the current first-party /wallet page. The post-repair run recorded 232 directly available responses, 20 access-blocked responses, 11 network errors, four other HTTP failures and zero 404/410 results. Blocked and inconclusive results are explicitly not proof of availability or death. No forecast number or order changed; a fresh blind inventory critic is required.

final_inventory_recritic_9 returned Winner: B with clear confidence after finding that all 230 app panels omitted the category/storefront-calibration sources that underpin chart-existence probabilities—3,597 missing panel references. The same canonical evidence helper now adds the category's direct evidence and the union of all 27 storefront probability-calibration source arrays. The browser labels those roles separately as category case and category probability, alongside app, neighbour and country-adjustment roles. The all-app regression now fails if any category or storefront-calibration source is missing from any affected panel or cannot resolve in the edition- local source register. No score or order changed; a fresh blind inventory critic is required.

final_inventory_recritic_10 returned Winner: B with close confidence on the fictional-review layer. It identified 40 critical reviews across Home, Identity, Medical and Work that merely repeated each app's countercase, plus ten generic name-swapped Work positives. A normalised-text audit showed the same name-substitution pattern in the 30 positive Home, Identity and Medical reviews, so the bounded repair covered the complete single defect class rather than leaving near-identical examples behind. Four disjoint authors— review_rewriter_home, review_rewriter_identity, review_rewriter_medical and review_rewriter_work—edited only the review fields in one assigned category each. All 80 affected reviews now describe a specific 2031 use event, benefit or friction tied to the app's own capabilities and limits. An ID-matched pre-rebuild comparison proved all non-review fields unchanged. The regression rejects a body equal to strongestCountercase after removing the imagined-review frame and rejects duplicate bodies after replacing each fictional app name; the current edition has 460/460 unique normalised bodies and zero countercase copies. The deterministic model was rebuilt only to carry the revised fictional copy into inventory; no score or rank input changed. A fresh blind inventory critic is required.

final_inventory_recritic_11 reviewed the exact post-repair candidate without a builder summary or edit authority and returned Winner: A with clear confidence. The inventory lane is therefore passing at this snapshot.

The first final-suite refresh critic reopened the previously passing refresh lane: validate-refresh-readiness.mjs accepted one self-declared critic JSON, never connected its arbitrary 64-character blindPacketHash to packet bytes, and did not enforce the skill's five review subjects. The bounded repair added scripts/build-refresh-critic-packet.mjs, whose edition-local packet binds the current sources, drivers, taxonomy, authored-app tree, generated inventory and the changelog outside its self-referential critic section. The readiness gate reconstructs the expected packet from those candidate artifacts, verifies the stored packet reference and actual byte hash, then requires the exact scopes method, global-research, taxonomy-inventory, storefront and refresh-integrated from five distinct fresh agents. Every schema-v1 verdict must carry the current hash and a retained prompt that names its scope, requires a fresh blind critic, excludes builder summaries and prohibits edits. The fixture now uses real packet bytes rather than "a".repeat(64); mutations for a false hash, missing scope and duplicated agent all fail. The project and installed skill copies were synchronised file-for-file. A fresh blind refresh critic is required.

final_refresh_recritic_4 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the five packet-bound verdict files were still repository-authored assertions, not evidence that five fresh agents had actually run. The bounded repair moves the refresh delta to schema version 3 and adds operational critic receipts. Each receipt is deterministically reconstructed from a distinct depth-one Codex child session, the common parent's fork_turns="none" spawn and delivered answer, the child inspection-tool trace, retained prompt bytes, and a final answer naming the exact packet hash, prompt hash and child session ID. Seal readiness reopens those live records outside the edition, requires five unique children with one parent, and rejects a hand-edited passing receipt; 12 focused refresh-readiness tests pass. The public skill explicitly does not call this a host-signed attestation: an actor able to rewrite both the repository and the same user's local Codex session store remains inside the trust boundary. The four governed project and installed skill files are byte-identical. A fresh blind refresh critic is required.

final_refresh_recritic_5 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the parent spawn task needed only to be substantive, not equal to the retained prompt whose hash appeared in the receipt. Codex stores the collaboration task argument encrypted locally, so the bounded repair makes the retained file—not the opaque spawn message—the canonical task. Each fresh child must call show-refresh-critic-prompt.mjs and treat its output as the complete brief. The reader verifies the requested scope and current packet, then prints the exact retained bytes and their hash. Receipt reconstruction requires that specific call and its exact adjacent output in the child transcript before the packet-, prompt- and session-bound final answer can pass. A new mutation replaces the delivery call with an unrelated read-only check and is rejected; all 13 focused refresh tests pass. Fresh blind refresh criticism is required.

final_refresh_recritic_6 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the canonical prompt-delivery call itself satisfied the gate's non-empty tool trace, so a child could immediately self-declare a pass. The repair separates delivery from review. After delivery, every scope now requires later read-only calls naming two actual candidate anchors—for example the forecast contract and model builder for method, or the UI and panel-evidence implementation for storefront. The gate rejects known edit commands and hashes those later calls and required paths into the receipt. A new mutation removes all post-prompt candidate inspection and is rejected; all 14 focused refresh tests pass. Fresh blind refresh criticism is required.

final_refresh_recritic_7 returned Winner: B with high confidence because the fixture's post-prompt call merely mentioned both required paths; the gate did not establish that their bytes matched the candidate. The repair adds all ten scope-anchor files to the blind packet by exact path, byte count and SHA-256. After prompt delivery, each child must run the canonical scope reader. It recomputes its assigned pair, refuses drift from the packet, and prints an exact machine-readable hash record. Receipt reconstruction requires and hashes that specific call and its adjacent output, so a path-name-only call cannot qualify. The focused receipt suite and governed-copy comparison pass. Fresh blind refresh criticism is required.

final_refresh_recritic_8 returned Winner: B with high confidence because the canonical scope reader proved file identity but exposed only paths, sizes and hashes; the child could still pass without seeing content. The blind packet now also binds a critic-visible inspection representation for every anchor. Text and code files are delivered in full. The large source, category and inventory JSON files use deterministic semantic projections that retain all scope-relevant records while avoiding a ten-megabyte raw inventory dump. Each child must make two later canonical content calls, one per assigned file, and receipt reconstruction verifies and hashes both exact adjacent outputs. A new mutation removes those content calls and is rejected. Fresh blind refresh criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_14 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because one month beyond used an unlisted arithmetic connector. The fail-closed rule now rejects any quantity-plus-time-unit expression in date metadata, regardless of connector, and explicitly includes beyond, past and ahead-of forms. Month, week and day variants are covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_13 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because following and plus arithmetic still inherited an anchor date, and the access-upper-bound exception applied to strings with extra clauses. Arithmetic operators now include following, plus, minus, prior/subsequent-to and later/earlier-than. The access exception now accepts only an exact standalone upper-bound date string. All reported variants are covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_12 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because relative arithmetic such as one month after 30 June 2031 inherited its June anchor instead of resolving into July. Publication metadata now rejects after/before/since/from arithmetic and requires an absolute resulting date. Both event orders are regression-tested. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_11 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because prefixed temporal events (republished, reissued, refreshed) and bare month names were not bounded. Re-prefixed event families and refresh forms now share the event rule, and every month name is a temporal cue that must be part of a recognised dated segment. Both event orders are regression-tested. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_10 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because an earlier unbounded event could borrow a later valid date in the same comma-delimited field. Temporal events are now segmented at the next event or hard clause boundary before date reconciliation. This prevents publication, update and revision dates from being shared in either direction; all three critic mutations are covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_9 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the literal publish stem did not include the noun publication. The event grammar now covers both publish... and publicat... forms, making an undated later-publication clause fail independently of an earlier recognised date. The exact mutation is covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_8 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because plural revisions and the indirect phrase next reporting cycle escaped the enumerated grammar. Event detection now uses word stems across publication, issue, release, update, modification, revision, amendment and correction families. Directional words such as next, subsequent, forthcoming, future and prospective require a recognised date in their own clause. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_7 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because noun-form revision and spelled-out next quarter were outside the temporal trigger grammar. Event detection now includes noun and verb forms for updates, modifications, revisions, amendments and corrections, while relative-period phrases cover next, previous, following, subsequent and forthcoming periods. The exact critic mutation is a regression. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_6 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because a recognised pre-close date could mask an unbounded later event in the same field. Validation now checks each publication/revision event and every relative season or quarter cue independently. A recognised earlier date no longer makes updated later that summer acceptable; both semicolon and comma mutations are covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_4 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because a standalone year such as published 2031 still resolved to null. Standalone year tokens now resolve to year-end unless they are already part of a supported full-date or month-year token; this preserves precision when present and fails closed when only the year is known. The affected source record was reconciled using the Korean ministry's 9 April announcement date, while the Philippine report now states that the linked report supplies no publication date and is bounded only by its recorded access date. Direct rejection coverage was added. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_5 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because unrecognised non-null forms such as Q3 2031 and 2031.07.01 failed open as null. Dotted dates and quarters are now supported, with quarters conservatively resolved to their final day. All other non-empty unrecognised forms fail unless they explicitly state that the publication date is unknown or unstated. The source registry was regenerated after separating event descriptions from date fields; no publication date was invented for undated pages. Fresh method criticism is required.

final_refresh_recritic_9 independently inspected the completed receipt chain and returned Winner: A with high confidence. The reusable refresh lane is therefore passing at this candidate: it rejects self-declared, stale, undispatched, unrelated, hash-only and content-uninspected critic evidence while retaining the explicit limitation that local Codex records are not host-signed.

The first exact-final seven-lane review used fresh contexts against one rebuilt edition snapshot. exact_final_global and exact_final_integrated returned Winner: A with high confidence. Five lanes reopened: method found no hard upper bound tying evidence/seal time to the 30 June 2031 scoring close; inventory found repeated kin/kind, loom and weave naming families; storefront found 6–10px low-contrast tertiary metadata; process found the public Gauntlet completion summary stale; and refresh found arbitrary prompt or bootstrap text could coexist with the required controls. Under the single-gap rule, the scoring-close loophole was selected first. A shared check now rejects both an evidence cutoff and a seal-assigned asOf after the scoring close; ordinary edition validation, seal preparation and direct mutation tests invoke that check. Fresh method criticism is required before the next gap is repaired.

The exact-final inventory naming gap is now repaired but awaits fresh criticism. Thirty-two products sharing kin/kind, loom or weave were renamed with category-specific brands; all affected prose and generated model artifacts were rebuilt while stable app IDs and numeric inputs remained unchanged. A sealed regression requires all 230 names to be unique and none to use those four rejected stems.

The exact-final storefront typography gap is repaired in code but awaits live proof and fresh criticism. All visible pixel-based text styles below 12px were raised to 12px across desktop and mobile rules. Secondary and tertiary greys now exceed 4.5:1 on both site backgrounds, with the minimum size and calculated contrast pinned by a sealed regression.

The rebuilt typography candidate passed signed-out mobile and desktop route proof in Chromium 150.0.7871.187. The refreshed mobile capture preserves the Top-10 chart, detail-panel path and public research journey without any visible text style below 12px. Fresh storefront criticism is required.

exact_storefront_recritic_10 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the two edition-status pills remained below 4.5:1 despite passing the neutral-colour regression. Their translucent combinations are replaced by explicit pairs above 6:1, and the contrast test now covers both accent states. Fresh route proof and storefront criticism are required.

exact_storefront_recritic_11 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because every desktop Why # control rendered at roughly 4.31:1 on its tinted background. The inspect-button state now uses the explicit high-contrast blue pair above 6:1, and its actual selector is regression-tested. Fresh route proof and storefront criticism are required.

exact_inventory_recritic_21 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the renamed app objects disagreed with independent authored storefront reason records that still used the old brands. The exact-name migration now covers authored calibrations, calibration packets and research prose; the model and public edition snapshot were rebuilt, and data validation passes. Fresh inventory criticism is required.

exact_inventory_recritic_22 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because seven products still reused the Current family. The repair expanded into a complete high-frequency stem audit: all product families used at least four times (current, relay, pulse, civic, harbour, ledger, nest and route) now have job-specific names, and the sealed name regression covers all twelve rejected stems. Rebuild and fresh criticism are required.

exact_inventory_recritic_23 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because Arc, Key, Harbor, Glass and Vault remained as catalogue-wide families and two categories mechanically reversed product compounds into developer names. Those remaining stems are retired, affected developers are independently named, and a sealed detector rejects forward or reverse brand mirroring. Rebuild and fresh criticism are required.

exact_inventory_recritic_24 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the whole-name detector missed internal product/developer stem reuse, including five Creation & Design pairs. A catalogue-wide shared-substring audit found 27 current hits; affected developers are independently renamed, and a sealed regression rejects meaningful shared stems of four or more characters. Rebuild and fresh criticism are required.

exact_method_recritic returned Winner: B with high confidence because the new close guard itself was not included in the edition's normative seal. The repair adds scripts/forecast-close.mjs to the normative file set and a focused regression verifies both its exact recorded SHA-256 and that changed helper bytes change the proposed root. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_2 returned Winner: B with clear confidence after tracing source-level time enforcement into scripts/date-boundary.mjs, which was also outside the normative set. That helper is now sealed alongside the forecast-close guard, and the root-sensitivity regression covers each file independently. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_3 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the source-date parser treated reduced-precision ISO months such as 2031-07 as undated. The parser now resolves ISO year-month values to month-end, a fail-closed convention already used for English month-year text. Tests pin 2031-06 to 30 June and reject 2031-07 against that close. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_15 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because one calendar month inserted a modifier between the quantity and time unit. The arithmetic class now allows up to two modifier words before day, week, month, quarter, season or year; succeeding and preceding are also explicit operators. Calendar-month and multiword business-week cases are covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_16 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because another natural-language lifecycle phrase (superseded on expiry of a three-day embargo) escaped the growing vocabulary. The edition interface no longer accepts free-text authoritative dates. Source construction converts research prose to canonical ISO dates or null, keeps the original wording as dateNote, and validation exactly reconciles only canonical values to the cutoff record. The reported phrase now fails structurally. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_17 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the source-registry converter that creates canonical authoritative dates was outside the normative seal. It is now a hashed normative input, and the root-sensitivity regression covers the converter, prose parser and forecast close guard independently. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_18 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the sealed implementation did not bind the two regression files supporting its claim. Both date-boundary and forecast-close suites are now normative sealed inputs, and root sensitivity is checked for the suites as well as the three enforcement layers. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_19 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because source construction silently substituted the cutoff date for a missing access date; 23 current records relied on that fallback. The fallback is removed and missing or blank access provenance now fails. The Africa pack's existing combined cutoff/access statement is parsed, and the driver atlas explicitly records when its linked sources were checked. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_20 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because a generic document Evidence date counted as access provenance and blank table access cells could inherit it. Evidence dates are no longer access defaults. When a table declares an Accessed column, every source row must populate it; document-level inheritance remains available only when no row-level access field exists and the document explicitly labels an access date. A blank-row mutation is covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_21 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because only the exact table header Accessed activated row-required validation. The builder now normalises Accessed, Access date, Date accessed and Accessed on to the same required field, while Evidence date remains explicitly excluded. All supported aliases are regression-tested. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_22 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the realistic header Accessed date remained outside the alias list. Header detection is now a constrained grammar covering access/accessed plus date/on and date-of-access forms, and the parser reads the detected column by index. Six natural aliases are covered while Evidence date stays excluded. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_23 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the anchored grammar missed the realistic header Last accessed. Detection is now word-order independent: any access/accessed, retrieved/retrieval, checked or visited provenance term triggers mandatory row values. Ten variants are covered while Evidence date remains excluded. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_24 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because base-word check and visit headers were missed while past-tense forms were covered. Access, retrieve, check and visit now use constrained morphological families spanning common noun and verb endings. Twelve header variants are covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_25 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because present-tense Retrieve date was outside the retrieval family. Retrieve, retrieved, retrieval and retrieving now all trigger mandatory row-level access provenance and are regression-tested. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_26 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because structured source blocks still read only exact Accessed, allowing aliased explicit values to be ignored in favour of a document default. Structured records now share the same access-header detector and required-value selector as tables. A post-cutoff aliased field is regression-tested through selection and cutoff rejection. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_27 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because only the first access-provenance field was read. Tables and structured records now collect every access/retrieve/check/visit value, require each declared cell or field to be nonblank, and reconcile their combined dates to the latest. A post-cutoff secondary check and a blank secondary field are covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_28 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because duplicate-URL merging retained the preferred record's earlier access date and discarded a later duplicate check. Merge consolidation now validates every candidate access date independently and retains the latest canonical value. This preserves a legitimate or before upper bound while ensuring that a later duplicate controls. Safe-upper-bound and pre/post-cutoff pairs are covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_29 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because Viewed on was not in the access-verb families. After excluding publication, evidence, source and publisher date fields, any remaining header containing date, on, when, time or timestamp now counts as access provenance. Viewed, observation and timestamp forms plus the exclusions are covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_30 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the realistic header Viewed at remained outside temporal detection. After the same publication/evidence/source exclusions, at and as of now count as temporal provenance markers and both variants are covered. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_31 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because hyphenated as-of was not covered by the whitespace form. Spaced and hyphenated as-of headers now share temporal-provenance treatment and both are regression-tested. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_32 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because duplicate structured access fields were collapsed by the parser's map, so a safe final value could hide an earlier post-cutoff value. Structured parsing now preserves and validates every occurrence, including explicit blanks; both mutations are pinned. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_33 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because Issue date and Issued on publication fields matched the broad temporal access classifier. The issue/issued family now joins the publication exclusions, with both forms regression-tested. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_34 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because repeated compound Source/date fields still used only the final map value. Every occurrence now contributes its explicit access date to reconciliation; a late-then-safe pair is pinned. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_35 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because one compound Source/date value could contain safe and late access clauses but the parser extracted only the first. It now preserves every access, retrieve, check, visit or view clause as raw bounded text for latest-date reconciliation; the mutation is pinned. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_36 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the shared scripts/source-claims.mjs provenance helper was not part of the normative seal. It is now hashed, and the seal-root sensitivity test mutates it alongside the other source/date guards. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_37 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because storefront-geography validation and its test were outside the normative seal. Instead of extending another manual allowlist, the seal now hashes every file under scripts/ and tests/; focused root-sensitivity mutations include both geography files. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_38 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because tests imported src/panel-evidence.mjs outside the scripts/tests seal. The normative directory set now includes all of src/, closing application-code dependencies used by tests and route behaviour; a panel-helper root mutation is pinned. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_39 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because index.html was copied into the route outside the proposal root. Root HTML and TypeScript configuration are now explicit normative files, while the complete public/ tree joins scripts/src/tests as a normative directory. HTML and icon inputs are root-sensitive when present. Fresh method criticism is required.

exact_method_recritic_40 returned Winner: A with clear confidence and no remaining gap. It confirmed that the fail-closed date boundary and forecast close are active and that root configuration, full public/scripts/src/tests trees and the complete edition tree are covered by the normative seal.

The exact-final refresh gap is repaired but awaits fresh criticism. One versioned generator now produces the exact packet-bound prompt and exact spawn bootstrap for every scope. Packet construction writes the five prompts; display, receipt reconstruction and readiness compare exact bytes; parent spawns must equal the generated bootstrap. Arbitrary appended prompt and bootstrap instructions are pinned, and all 18 focused readiness tests pass.

exact_refresh_recritic_23 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because session receipt reconstruction used substring checks for prompt, scope and content outputs. The receipt now requires an exact successful-command envelope and exact stdout bytes for all four deliveries, plus an exact parent-delivered final answer. Prefix/suffix mutations are pinned; all 19 focused readiness tests pass. Fresh refresh criticism is required.

exact_refresh_recritic_24 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the six required final-verdict fields were parsed from anywhere inside a longer message. Final parsing now uses one fully anchored grammar with exact field order and winner-dependent gap rules; leading, trailing and duplicate-field mutations are pinned. Fresh refresh criticism is required.

exact_refresh_recritic_25 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because canonical tool calls were selected by command substring while their reader scripts ignored extra arguments. Receipt reconstruction now extracts the one shell command from a single execution call and requires exact equality; every reader rejects surplus argv. A silent-suffix mutation is pinned. Fresh refresh criticism is required.

exact_refresh_recritic_26 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because an exact-bootstrap critic could receive a later biasing parent follow-up and the matching pass turn would still qualify. Receipt reconstruction now requires one child task turn and rejects parent follow-up, message or interruption calls targeted at the critic before delivery. The mutation is pinned. Fresh refresh criticism is required.

exact_refresh_recritic_27 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because a sibling agent could message the critic during its sole turn without changing the parent transcript. Receipt reconstruction now scans every Codex session record for targeted sibling follow-ups, messages or interruptions inside the critic turn's timestamp bounds. The sibling-message mutation is pinned; all 23 focused readiness tests pass. Fresh refresh criticism is required.

exact_inventory_recritic_25 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because Morrowline and DeepEdition remained in the global developer namespace for unrelated apps. Those two developer identities are replaced, and a sealed regression compares every product brand against all 230 developer names. Model rebuild, edition snapshot and complete data validation pass. Fresh inventory criticism is required.

exact_storefront_recritic_12 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the visible 12px lowers direction label measured about 4.10:1. Its shared foreground now exceeds 5.2:1 on the store-paper background; the exact selector and contrast calculation are pinned. Signed-out mobile and desktop route proof passes in Chromium 150.0.7871.187. Fresh storefront criticism is required.

exact_inventory_recritic_26 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because 48 repeated product-token families still affected 95 of 230 names. The complete affected set now has job-specific brands, with exact migration of dependent prose and storefront reasons. A sealed catalogue-wide regression rejects duplicate meaningful tokens, known compound roots, product/developer stem mirroring and any product brand reused in any developer namespace. The model and public snapshot were rebuilt and data validation passes. Fresh inventory criticism is required.

exact_storefront_recritic_13 returned Winner: B with clear confidence after measuring the first detail trigger partly outside a 320px viewport and only 30 by 30px. The mobile row now shrinks and wraps safely, the trigger is 44 by 44px, and live route proof itself runs at 320px and checks both containment and target size. Signed-out mobile and desktop proof passes in Chromium 150.0.7871.187. Fresh storefront criticism is required.

exact_refresh_recritic_28 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the single-candidate task used an undefined A/B winner even though no reference artefact or randomized candidate side existed. Canonical task v2 now asks for an exact direct pass/fail result against the named external bar. Receipt schema v2 and packet schema v2 bind that semantics, with a single gap required only on failure. All 23 focused readiness tests pass and installed/project governed skill files are byte-identical. Fresh refresh criticism is required.

exact_inventory_recritic_27 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because a cascading name migration left the Social & Community #8 product as both YouthClubsss and YoungCollectivessss. The migration now resolves old names to one terminal value in a cycle-checked single pass and is idempotent on a second run. YouthGuild is canonical across authored data, calibrations, generated inventory, research and the public snapshot; searches reject both malformed variants. Full data and naming validation passes. Fresh inventory criticism is required.

exact_refresh_recritic_29 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because receipt reconstruction could select a failed canonical spawn by task name but bind a later biased spawn's start and output. The canonical spawn call, child start event and spawn output must now share one call/event ID. A decoy-spawn mutation is pinned and all 24 focused readiness tests pass. Fresh refresh criticism is required.

exact_storefront_recritic_14 returned Winner: B with clear confidence after counting 32 of 60 visible mobile controls below 44px, including navigation and footer actions. Mobile links, buttons, inputs and disclosures now expose 44px targets, with a 24px desktop minimum. Live proof enumerates every visible interactive target on the main storefront, app panel and research reader and fails on any undersized box. Signed-out 320px and desktop proof passes in Chromium 150.0.7871.187. Fresh storefront criticism is required.

exact_storefront_recritic_15 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the Fictional name-audit card was added after the latest build and signed-out proof. The route runner now opens that public research record and checks its 230-name scope, US-storefront boundary, non-trademark disclaimer and focus restoration. A rebuilt 320px/desktop proof is pending completion of the underlying dated audit.

exact_refresh_recritic_30 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the costly-run approval allowed unattended continuation without separately gating seal preparation or freezing. The skill now stops at a checked local researching draft and requires a second explicit confirmation naming seal preparation or freezing before either script or lifecycle change. A sealed governance regression pins that boundary; all 25 focused refresh tests pass and the installed/project governed skill files are byte-identical. Fresh refresh criticism is required.

exact_refresh_recritic_31 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because a due signal could pass readiness with only signalId and a placeholder state. Readiness now enforces the complete signal-review contract: dated observation, known evidence IDs, valid direction, known affected entities, future next check and a substantive uncertainty note. An evidence-free placeholder mutation is pinned; all 26 focused refresh tests pass. Fresh refresh criticism is required.

exact_refresh_recritic_32 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because a due-signal review could cite only an unchanged source last accessed at the previous cutoff. Normal reviews must now cite at least one registry source accessed inside the open refresh window. A true unavailable result needs a dated unavailableCheck, inspected HTTPS locations and a substantive note. A stale-only mutation is pinned; all 27 focused refresh tests pass and governed skill files are byte-identical. Fresh refresh criticism is required.

exact_refresh_recritic_33 returned Winner: B with clear confidence because the delta's editable previous cutoff supplied the freshness lower bound without being reconciled to the predecessor manifest. Readiness now reads the prior manifest, requires exact cutoff equality and requires the new cutoff to advance. A backdating mutation is pinned; all 28 focused refresh tests pass. Fresh refresh criticism is required.

exact_refresh_recritic_34 returned Verdict: fail because the skill prose still described the critic receipt as schema version 1 while the contract, generator and validator required version 2. The project and installed skill copies were corrected together, and a governance regression now rejects the obsolete wording. All 29 focused refresh tests pass.

exact_refresh_recritic_35 returned Verdict: pass with high confidence. It confirmed byte-identical installed/project skill copies, receipt-schema alignment, predecessor-cutoff reconciliation, contemporaneous due-signal evidence, the unavailable-check fallback, separate seal/freeze approval and the exact session-reconstructed five-critic protocol.

exact_inventory_recritic_28 returned a losing verdict because internal naming tests did not check existing-market collisions. The coordinator used Apple's public Search API at the documented approximate rate limit, against the US storefront only. Fourteen of the initial 230 fictional names returned a normalized exact match. All were renamed and queried again. The final ledger contains 244 timestamped requests, retains those 14 superseded collisions and shows zero returned exact matches among the 230 current names. This did not enter the forecast model or change numeric inputs or ranks.

exact_inventory_recritic_30 returned Verdict: fail because the rename migration skipped the machine audit but could still rewrite the public Markdown table of superseded names. Both ledgers are now immutable migration inputs. The new non-writing check reports zero files and zero replacements and the regression byte-compares both records before and after it.

exact_inventory_recritic_31 returned Verdict: pass with high confidence. It confirmed the 230 catalogue-to-audit mappings, 244 retained queries, all 14 superseded collisions, zero current exact matches, immutable audit mirrors, zero-change migration check and six passing focused naming tests.

exact_storefront_recritic_16 returned Verdict: pass with clear confidence. It confirmed byte-current bundles and edition records, signed-out Chromium proof at 320 by 844 and 1440 by 1000, 39 of 39 checks, zero console errors, accessible targets, focus containment/restoration, fiction and lifecycle disclosures, the name-audit reader, evidence links and invalid-edition rejection.

exact_process_recritic_06 returned Verdict: pass with high confidence. It confirmed that the public record preserves losses and repairs, AI/human roles, prompt-retention limits, 275-source provenance, post-cutoff naming QA, 57 passing tests, current edition-local public hashes, signed-out 320px/1440px Chromium proof and the exact researching, unfrozen, undeployed and domain-unconfigured boundary.

exact_integrated_recritic_04 remained active without returning a verdict and was interrupted after an excessive wait. No result from that run is counted as evidence. The coordinator then dispatched a new bounded blind critic against the same complete artifacts.

exact_integrated_recritic_05 returned Verdict: pass with high confidence. It confirmed the 275-source global record, validated 23-by-10 catalogue, uncertainty, countercases, regional evidence, entrepreneur openings, 460 disclosed imagined reviews, zero current US exact-name matches, 57 passing tests, 39-of-39 signed-out Chromium checks, byte-identical governed refresh skills and the explicit local researching, unfrozen, undeployed and domain-unconfigured boundary.

Human decisions and boundaries

The human owner supplied the goal, changed Top 20 to Top 10, chose an evergreen name, required global rather than UK-only evidence, approved the costly Gauntlet and required public process documentation. The coordinator made implementation and method proposals within that scope. No AI run had authority to deploy, register the domain or freeze/publish the edition.

DECISION_LEDGER.md contains the durable choices. GAUNTLET.md contains each critic loss and the one gap repaired next. RESEARCH_LOG.md contains the dated research narrative. Those records are complementary; none is a substitute for the source register or forecast contract.

Known provenance limitations

The repository does not contain a platform export of hidden system prompts, private model reasoning, token-level traces or exact serving snapshot IDs. Early research and first-cycle critic dispatches were not archived verbatim; their task contracts are explicitly reconstructed above and in the Gauntlet log. This draft therefore supports task-level reconstruction, not a claim of a complete forensic transcript. Future refreshes must append verbatim bounded dispatches, actor/model disclosure and tool use to this file before accepting their outputs.

Post-Gauntlet delivery implementation — 1 August 2026

• Trigger: The human owner asked for npm run dev and npm run deploy to work like the other Cloudflare Worker applications.
• AI role: Inspected the existing static build, checked Cloudflare's current Workers Static Assets, SPA routing, custom-build and deploy-command guidance, then implemented the smallest assets-only configuration.
• Human role: Authorized the delivery wiring. The human did not authorize an actual deployment, domain attachment, edition freeze or publication.
• Implementation choice: Wrangler runs the existing deterministic build and serves dist with single-page-application fallback. There is no database, server entry point or Worker binding because the current product does not need one.
• Safety choice: npm run deploy is preceded by source-data validation, type checking and tests; npm run deploy:dry-run provides a non-publishing proof.
• Verification: Wrangler 4.118.0 served the homepage, edition query, deep-link SPA fallback and edition-local inventory with HTTP 200. Data validation found 23 categories and 230 forecast apps; type checking and all 59 tests passed; the signed-out mobile and desktop route proof passed; and Cloudflare's dry-run inspected 202 built assets and exited without publishing.

Plain-English product opportunity implementation — 1 August 2026

• Trigger: Browser review found that short listing subtitles and the early detail panel did not adequately answer what each app does, why changing world conditions create the need, or how it could be built. The human required the new copy to be understandable to a bright 16-year-old and explicitly asked for sub-agent support.
• Audit roles: Four bounded agents separately audited schema, content quality, panel information order and evidence integrity. They did not edit inventory or model inputs.
• Author roles: Eight agents received non-overlapping category groups. Each wrote app-specific companion records under product-stories/, using only driver IDs assigned to the category and evidence IDs already present in the app case.
• Coordinator role: Defined the shared schema, joined stories only after rank computation, added readable interface sections and inline citations, wrote validation rules, reconciled author output and ran integrated checks.
• Evidence rule: Sources support observed present-day shifts. Product design, forecast demand and rank remain disclosed inference. Crypto or blockchain cannot be called required or optional without evidence already attached to that app; every other app explains why an ordinary governed system is sufficient.
• Human role: Set the missing questions, sales-led copy goal and reading age. The human did not authorize a deployment, domain action, edition freeze or publication.

AppStore2031 identity implementation — 1 August 2026

• Trigger: The human owner renamed the project AppStore2031 and supplied the final faceted purple 31 artwork.
• Human role: Chose the name and supplied the source logo. No deployment, domain attachment, edition freeze or publication was authorised.
• AI role: Applied the new identity to the public shell, browser metadata, current research and method labels, package identity, Worker name and the reusable refresh helper; retained historical prompt text and stable internal paths where rewriting them would damage provenance or compatibility.
• Interface judgement: Kept the warm paper, dark ink and signal-blue research system. The purple artwork is concentrated in the header, footer and browser icon, where it adds recognition without turning the evidence experience into a neon-themed redesign.
• Asset handling: Copied the supplied 500×500 RGBA PNG byte-for-byte to public/appstore2031.png; the header and footer share that source asset.
• Verification: Data validation passed for 23 categories and 230 apps; type checking and all 66 tests passed. A signed-out Chromium 150 route audit then passed at 320×844 and 1440×1000, including the new title, mobile overflow, touch targets, detail panels and public research readers. A manual local browser check confirmed the 36px header logo, 52px footer logo, compact mobile identity and zero console warnings or errors.
• Audit repair: The route audit caught source-link pills below the 44px mobile touch target inside the detail sheet. Those pills were enlarged and the clean audit was rerun. The first attempted audit also exposed a test-only race: a running dev watcher rebuilt dist when the audit wrote screenshots under data; the authoritative audit was run from a clean build without the watcher and then the normal dev server was restarted.

Semantic research-reader implementation — 1 August 2026

• Trigger: The human owner asked for the Markdown research records to be rendered elegantly rather than shown as raw code-style text.
• Human role: Set the desired outcome. No research rewrite, rank change, deployment, domain action, edition freeze or publication was authorised.
• AI role: Inspected the existing reader and representative records, selected a semantic React Markdown renderer with GitHub-style table/list extensions, designed the document hierarchy, implemented Read/Source modes and tested long, table-heavy and mobile documents.
• Interface judgement: Kept the warm paper and readable sans typography, narrowed prose to 820px and reused the forecast evidence node at major headings. Tables, quotations and code receive distinct but quiet surfaces; the sheet does not imitate GitHub or create a second visual system.
• Integrity rule: The browser still fetches the preserved edition-local file. Read mode changes presentation only; Source mode exposes the exact fetched Markdown. Raw HTML is not executed and JSON remains an exact source view.
• Verification: The public record was re-snapshotted; data validation passed for 23 categories and 230 apps; type checking, all 67 tests and the production build passed. The signed-out Chromium 150 audit passed at 320×844 and 1440×1000, including semantic document content, exact Source mode, all 23 calibration tables, touch targets, focus containment and research routes.
• Audit repair: The typography test rejected an 11px external-link arrow. It was raised to the project-wide 12px minimum without weakening the test.

Future-native replacement synthesis — 3 August 2026

• Trigger: The human owner rejected the active catalogue because many concepts looked buildable in 2026–2028 and did not reflect the possibility that AI, money, work, health, education, institutions and social life could change structurally by 2031. The owner approved a clean future-native replacement, not an evolution of today's apps.
• Research boundary: The invalidated catalogue remains provenance only. The active edition starts from six 2031 worlds, then derives 60 actors, 74 needs, eight category proposals and 72 sealed concepts without using current apps or categories as templates. Six categories advanced and two remain watch categories.
• Author roles: Six bounded category agents each compared all twelve sealed concepts in one category. Each selected ten, excluded two, assigned a reasoned score and wrote plain-language product, demand, rank, construction, risk and fictional-review material. They did not change worlds, needs, categories or candidate definitions.
• Ranking rule: The 100-point authored score weights future distance, need scale, geographic breadth, marketplace clarity, 2031 delivery readiness and trust and safety. It is a transparent prioritisation aid, not a probability or a claim that a numerical model discovered the future.
• Name-screen roles: Final names with possible or clear current collisions were replaced and re-searched. All 60 final exact-name searches returned no-material-collision-found. The result is a bounded search record, not trademark, legal, company, domain, language or cultural clearance.
• Stopped work: A present-day semantic-overlap audit could not reliably inspect the complete 360–410 KB category packets because its view was truncated. No partial result was accepted and no receipt was fabricated. The limitation is published. The project did not restart the research or design another audit protocol.
• Coordinator role: Validated the 60 selections and name records, compiled the edition-scoped public projection, updated the site and refresh skill, and preserved the method, decision and research logs. Private chain-of-thought is not published; task briefs, artefacts, decisions, failures and validation results are.
• Human boundary: The owner approved the replacement research and local site work. No deployment, domain attachment, edition freeze, publication, commit or push was authorised.

Future-native local release validation — 3 August 2026

• Coordinator role: Reconciled all renamed product references, compiled the public edition, replaced obsolete intermediate-state release tests with 30 product-facing checks, and proved the signed-out mobile and desktop routes.
• Interface proof: Both viewports expose six categories and ten rows in the selected chart, open the entire row, show the product explanation before rank machinery, retain at least 16px explanatory text, restore focus on close and navigate to Worlds, Method, Research and Changes without browser errors.
• Final critic: The first inspection correctly failed because the development preview inherited across the machine crash accepted a connection but served zero bytes. The coordinator restarted that process without changing research or product content. HTTP 200 and the full route proof passed; the same critic returned PASS.
• Delivery proof: Final synthesis, bounded names, projection, typecheck, production build, active tests and a Cloudflare non-publishing dry run pass. This is local validation only; no deployment, publication, domain action, freeze, commit or push occurred.