AppStore2031

How the forecast was made

Claims, scenarios and fictional products stay separate.

The method begins with dated evidence, builds several possible worlds, derives needs and categories, invents products, audits them, then makes a bounded Top 10 judgement. Evidence supports the starting conditions—not the fictional result.

Forecast target
31 Jul 2031
Evidence cut-off
2 Aug 2026
Edition
2031-2026-08-02
Status
Working forecast

The reasoning chain

1 · Now

Observed evidence

Dated sources describe present conditions, policies, measured trends and uncertainties.

2 · Possible shift

Scenario condition

Six contrasting worlds test how power, work, infrastructure and relationships might change.

3 · 2031

Product consequence

Fictional products and rankings are conditional judgements, with counter-cases and movement signals.

Read the complete method