AppStore2031

method

Public-record policy

A public AppStore2031 research record. The readable view is generated without changing the preserved source.

Open the exact Markdown source

Research boundary: Observed evidence, inference, scenario and fictional forecast claims retain the labels used in the source record.

Public research record

Method-version note. The requirements below began under v1. Wherever a v1 artefact name differs from the future-native v2 schema, v2's validated, edition-scoped equivalent takes precedence. Withdrawn catalogue data is exposed only as a clearly labelled historical archive, never as the default forecast.

The site will publish enough structured evidence for a reader to understand, challenge, and reproduce the method without presenting private model reasoning as evidence.

Public records

  • Forecast contract and resolution rules.
  • Source register with original and linked language, translation method, access date, geography, evidence type and limitations. A field inferred from document scope or absent from the original research block is never presented as exact: metadataStatus: qualified and machine-readable caveats preserve that gap, while every link still receives a visible conservative limitation.
  • Driver and scenario atlas.
  • Historical backtest, naive baseline, mapping decisions, scores, and known contamination limitation.
  • Decision ledger, including rejected alternatives.
  • AI disclosure: the run-level AI_RUN_LOG.md records model precision and its limits, tools, verbatim where retained or explicitly summarised/reconstructed bounded task prompts, source boundaries, human decisions, outputs and fresh-critic separation.
  • Gauntlet status, concise blind verdicts, closed gaps, and regressions.
  • Immutable edition history and human-readable changes.
  • Downloadable structured forecast and source data.

The site never mixes these records across editions. Each edition carries a public-record/_MANIFEST.json that hashes every exposed research, method and process file, and the edition manifest binds that index. An unknown edition shows no forecast or research cards. Shared working documents can evolve for the next refresh but are not served as the record of an earlier edition.

Source states

  • used: materially supports a published claim or forecast.
  • context: shaped the research but does not directly support a claim.
  • contradictory: materially challenges another used source or inference.
  • rejected: reviewed but unsuitable, with the reason retained.
  • superseded: replaced by a later authoritative source without being erased.

The project publishes original summaries and short compliant excerpts only. It links to original material. Machine- or AI-assisted translations are labelled and never presented as official translations.